中國A股策略│ 最新市場動向
- 中國股市的整固期持續。自7月第二個星期升至年初至今的高位之後,中國股市維持窄幅波動。
- 與我們在今年較早時候所看到的模式相似,值得注意的是,與全球其他多個市場相比,中國股票的日常波動較小。截至9月3日,中國A股市場僅有3天錄得波幅+/- 5%,而標普500指數則有10天。1
- 科技行業 ─ 美國近期市場波動的主要來源 ─ 仍然是中美緊張局勢的焦點。中國的網絡科技公司挑戰著傳統的觀念,即「美國創新,中國複製」。雖然在未來數年,中國資本密集型行業(例如半導體行業)將獲得政府大力支持,一些消費者應用程式,擁有Apple Developer帳戶的所有人均可以利用相同工具開發,並在全球的應用程式商店中分發,它們的成功歸功於企業家,而非產業政策的支持。
- 此外,中國其中一間最大的保險公司於9月22日舉行了年度投資者日活動,發布有關其健康護理業務的一些引人注目的統計數據。該公司正在建立世界上最大的健康護理數據庫,目前包括數以十億計的患者在線諮詢,並涵蓋大量疾病及藥物的資訊。
- 如果說數據像石油一樣是未來推動企業發展的原材料,那麼中國擁有巨大的競爭優勢。
- 亞洲地區樂於採用新科技,未來五年,估計全球數據近一半將來自亞洲,當中大部分源自中國,這某程度上解釋了為何中國一直大力投資人工智能。
- 雖然之前中國創新的大部分資金均來自私人市場,但公共市場領域正在迅速發展。
- 因此,西方及東方資本主義的傳統定義變得愈來愈模糊,中國企業快速創新,遠遠超過國家資助的行業。
- 隨著中國披露下一個五年計劃,這種模糊的定義將在未來數週變得更加顯著,五年計劃於1953年首次啟動,最初為當時的農業國家規劃快速工業化的道路。現時,中國領導人正在起草第十四個五年計劃,將可窺見他們希望帶領的中國未來路向。
- 習近平主席在聯合國大會上承諾在2060年之前實現零碳、風力發電、太陽能、電動汽車及電池儲存科技等環境議題將很可能成為重點。其他值得關注的領域包括「新基建」,更多的資本將會用於中國的新增長引擎。
除另有註明外,所有資料均來自安聯投資,截至2020年9月25日。
1 資料來源:Refinitiv DataStream、安聯投資,截至2020年9月3日。
中國A股策略 – 金融穩定仍是關注重點
摘要
最近數週環球股市表現波動,中國股市展現出韌性。美國大選以及螞蟻集團暫緩上市影響中國市場。美國大選方面,預期中美關係可回暖,市場對此反應正面。此外,金融科技的風險,可透過審慎建構投資組合來減輕影響。避免過多配置於某一行業或單一證券,並保持投資組合及表現來源多元化。
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