A股國際化 兩大關鍵詞
摘要
A股市場加快開放步伐,滬港通及深港通先後在2014及2016年開通,吸引外資大舉進入A股市場。在去年全球兩大指數公司更宣布將A股納入旗下主流指數之中,難怪在內地去年的十大A股關鍵詞當中,便包括了「MSCI擴容」和「A股入富」兩詞。
MSCI去年加快「擴容」
A股躋身國際性股票指數,在國際金融舞台的角色日益吃重。早在2013年,A股已獲摩根士丹利資本國際(MSCI)列入「潛在升級市場觀察名單」,並最終在2018年6月正式「入摩」,被納入MSCI新興市場指數,當時的納入因子只有2.5%
到了2019年3月,MSCI宣布在年內分三階段將A股的納入因子增加,即所謂的「擴容」。MSCI先在去年5月將指數中的中國A股納入因子從5%增加至10%,到8月份增至15%,並在11月底執行第三階段擴容至20%,完成「三步走」計劃。從此A股在MSCI中國指數和MSCI新興市場指數的權重分别增加至12.1%和4.1%3。
未來MSCI新興市場指數的A股權重預料會明顯增加,以反映內地A股市場的規模,並大幅改變未來新興市場基準指數的構成。假設指數中當前選定的A股數量100%納入指數之中,中國將佔該指數的43%;若按目前在A股市場交易的所有股票計算並以100%因子納入,則A股佔該指數的權重將進一步增至50%(見下圖)
中圖基於MSCI在2019年11月的建議,即將472隻大型及中型內地A股納入MSCI新興市場指數。 右圖基於所有中國股票可納入MSCI新興市場指數的 假設。我們採用85%的折扣係數,應大約代表內地A股的大型及中型股領域。
資料來源:MSCI、美銀美林、安聯投資
A股分階段「入富」
另一邊廂,A股亦在去年起納入富時羅素(FTSE Russell)指數,首輪同樣以「三步走」方式將A股的納入因子由5%增至20%。首兩步已在去年6月及9月完成,原定在今年3月會完成第三步,將其全球指數系列中的納入因子由15%提升至25%。
不過, 富時羅素就市況作出評估,於早前公布第三步將分為兩階段進行,首階段在3月進行其中的四分一,另外四分三將留待6月季檢時進行。
「擴容」和「入富」後, 外資勢必進一步吸納A股。市場分析指,根據追蹤MSCI指數的資金規模,單是去年11月的指數調整,A股的增量資金規模便達到約350-400億美元。而根據人行去年三季度末數據,外資持有中國股票規模更超過了1萬7千億元人民幣,創下有記錄以來歷史新高。投資者是時候考慮快人一步,率先充分把握中國股市的當前機遇。
A股國際化時序
2014年11月/A股正式開放滬港通渠道
2016年12月/A股正式開放深港通渠道
2018年6月/MSCI宣佈將A股年納入新興市場指,初期納入因子為2.5%,到9月升至5%。
2018年9月/富時羅素宣佈分三階段將A股納入全球股票指數體系
2019年3月/MSCI宣佈年內分三階段將A股納入因子將分階段由5%增加至20%
2019年6月/A股首次納入富時羅素全球股票指數體系
2019年11月/MSCI 完成「擴容」三步曲
2020年3月/A股首階段納入富時羅素指數延遲至6月完成
1 MSCI, 截至2019 年 11 月 7 日
A股術語你要知:白馬、黑馬與斑馬
摘要
香港投資者對於港股術語當然耳熟能詳,紅籌股、H股等用詞都不會陌生,但當投資於A股市場時,相信不少港股投資者會被A股的術語「考起」。
-
Investing involves risk. The value of an investment and the income from it will fluctuate and investors may not get back the principal invested. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. This is a marketing communication. It is for informational purposes only. This document does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security and shall not be deemed an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.
Some or all the securities identified and described may represent securities purchased in client accounts. The reader should not assume that an investment in the securities identified was or will be profitable. The securities or companies identified do not represent all of the securities purchased, sold, or recommended for advisory clients. Actual holdings will vary for each client. BAT is a widely used acronym for three large cap tech companies in China: Baidu, Alibaba and Tencent.
The views and opinions expressed herein, which are subject to change without notice, are those of the issuer or its affiliated companies at the time of publication. Certain data used are derived from various sources believed to be reliable, but the accuracy or completeness of the data is not guaranteed and no liability is assumed for any direct or consequential losses arising from their use. The duplication, publication, extraction or transmission of the contents, irrespective of the form, is not permitted.
This material has not been reviewed by any regulatory authorities. In mainland China, it is used only as supporting material to the offshore investment products offered by commercial banks under the Qualified Domestic Institutional Investors scheme pursuant to applicable rules and regulations. This document does not constitute a public offer by virtue of Act Number 26.831 of the Argentine Republic and General Resolution No. 622/2013 of the NSC. This communication's sole purpose is to inform and does not under any circumstance constitute promotion or publicity of Allianz Global Investors products and/or services in Colombia or to Colombian residents pursuant to part 4 of Decree 2555 of 2010. This communication does not in any way aim to directly or indirectly initiate the purchase of a product or the provision of a service offered by Allianz Global Investors. Via reception of his document, each resident in Colombia acknowledges and accepts to have contacted Allianz Global Investors via their own initiative and that the communication under no circumstances does not arise from any promotional or marketing activities carried out by Allianz Global Investors. Colombian residents accept that accessing any type of social network page of Allianz Global Investors is done under their own responsibility and initiative and are aware that they may access specific information on the products and services of Allianz Global Investors. This communication is strictly private and confidential and may not be reproduced. This communication does not constitute a public offer of securities in Colombia pursuant to the public offer regulation set forth in Decree 2555 of 2010. This communication and the information provided herein should not be considered a solicitation or an offer by Allianz Global Investors or its affiliates to provide any financial products in Brazil, Panama, Peru, and Uruguay. In Australia, this material is presented by Allianz Global Investors Asia Pacific Limited (“AllianzGI AP”) and is intended for the use of investment consultants and other institutional/professional investors only, and is not directed to the public or individual retail investors. AllianzGI AP is not licensed to provide financial services to retail clients in Australia. AllianzGI AP (Australian Registered Body Number 160 464 200) is exempt from the requirement to hold an Australian Foreign Financial Service License under the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) pursuant to ASIC Class Order (CO 03/1103) with respect to the provision of financial services to wholesale clients only. AllianzGI AP is licensed and regulated by Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission under Hong Kong laws, which differ from Australian laws.
This document is being distributed by the following Allianz Global Investors companies: Allianz Global Investors U.S. LLC, an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission; Allianz Global Investors Distributors LLC, distributor registered with FINRA, is affiliated with Allianz Global Investors U.S. LLC; Allianz Global Investors GmbH, an investment company in Germany, authorized by the German Bundesanstalt für Finanzdienstleistungsaufsicht (BaFin); Allianz Global Investors (Schweiz) AG; Allianz Global Investors Asia Pacific Ltd., licensed by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission; Allianz Global Investors Singapore Ltd., regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore [Company Registration No. 199907169Z]; Allianz Global Investors Japan Co., Ltd., registered in Japan as a Financial Instruments Business Operator [Registered No. The Director of Kanto Local Finance Bureau (Financial Instruments Business Operator), No. 424, Member of Japan Investment Advisers Association and Investment Trust Association, Japan]; and Allianz Global Investors Taiwan Ltd., licensed by Financial Supervisory Commission in Taiwan.