A shared vision is vital for a sustainable recovery

02/09/2020
A shared vision is vital for a sustainable recovery

Summary

The human and economic costs of the Covid-19 pandemic have refocused minds on the challenges facing societies globally. Solutions will likely involve multiple stakeholders and investors, and blended finance could be critical in unlocking shared value.

Key takeaways

  • The Covid-19 pandemic has inspired market participants to think even more creatively about how to achieve meaningful real-life change through finance
  • Investors recognise that generating financial alpha is possible while meeting societal targets, and post-crisis we expect greater emphasis on the social element of environmental, social and governance (ESG) investing
  • Blended finance, where development capital spurs private sector investment, allows investors to invest towards a societal objective within their risk appetite
  • We believe active managers will play a vital role in structuring deals to maximise the impact of every dollar invested – from a financial and societal perspective

The overwhelming humanitarian crisis of the Covid-19 pandemic has forced everyone to recalibrate their priorities. Before the pandemic, there was a question mark over the future of sustainable finance. Now, the crisis has inspired participants in capital markets to think even more creatively about how to achieve meaningful real-life change through finance.

As an asset manager, the topics we are discussing with policymakers, regulators and investors increasingly echo the agenda for wider society. It is through such a shared vision – where benefits accrue not just to the stakeholders directly involved but to broader society – that sustainable finance will secure its long-term success.

Post-crisis, we expect the “S” factors of ESG (environmental, social and governance) – in other words, the social effects of economic activity – to grow in importance. These will sometimes be addressed explicitly within the framework of the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).

An increasing number of market participants recognise that generating financial alpha is possible while also meeting societal targets – for example, by investing in urban regeneration, enhanced digital infrastructure, social housing, or improved education and health services. Furthermore, by influencing corporate leadership through engagement, asset managers can promote environmental and social priorities.

Dividing up the risk-return benefits in new ways 

However, even where different parties share similar goals, they will likely have different responsibilities and distinct long- and short-term objectives. Transformative ventures also tend to be higher risk. We need to rethink how we can divide up the different risk-return benefits and costs to encourage investment into such ventures.

Blended finance – where development capital spurs private sector investment in projects that address societal challenges – can play a crucial role in unlocking shared value in this context. Allianz Global Investors works closely with development banks who take a subordinate risk that helps protect other investors. This enables those investors to invest towards a societal objective within their risk appetite – for example, using investment-grade assets only.

As an active asset manager, we see our role as a vital one in structuring these deals in a way that multiplies the impact of every dollar – from both a financial and societal perspective. There is a clear need for even more new and innovative partnerships to deliver these results.

In addition, we know there must be an educated debate about how to approach the most pressing issues – from the importance of considering ESG factors in risk management and mitigation to the power of ownership through active stewardship. For example, when it comes to decarbonisation, should investors exclude “dirty” industries, engage with them, or invest instead in solutions providers? What if the company with the highest carbon emissions in a listed equity carbon transition portfolio is, in fact, a solar panel company? These examples underscore the challenges faced by investors. 

Using today’s sense of urgency to build a new paradigm

The targeted and often thoughtful global responses to the Covid-19 pandemic are an encouraging sign that accelerated change is possible. But we need to press for a new paradigm to shape the future recovery in the right way. Sustainable finance will play a key role in myriad ways.

If the debt burden of climate action falls on future generations, they should also share in the benefits. Public stimulus programmes need to be conditional on financing the climate transition of the economy and addressing the many other societal challenges facing the world today, as reflected in the UN SDGs. Carbon-pricing mechanisms must better reflect the externalities of fossil fuels – the hidden costs that are still not always reflected in the market price.

At the same time, asset managers and investors need to be vigilant that we do not distort asset pricing, creating bubbles and accusations of “greenwashing”.

Now is also the moment to rejuvenate existing infrastructure – such as electricity networks – while building the social, environmental and energy projects that will support the well-being and prosperity of future generations. Blended finance is likely to become a very powerful tool for ensuring a resilient recovery and a more sustainable world, based on innovative public-private partnerships and a new paradigm of competition, collaboration and international cooperation.

 

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3 policy differences for investors to watch in the US presidential race

17/09/2020
3 policy differences for investors to watch in the US presidential race

Summary

President Trump and former Vice President Biden have notably different views about corporate taxes, energy and US-China trade, which may have a substantial impact on markets and portfolios.

Key takeaways

  • President Trump and his Democratic opponent, former Vice President Joe Biden, have pronounced policy differences on corporate taxes, energy and US-China trade, but generally similar views around drug pricing, large-cap tech firms and infrastructure investment
  • The run-up to a US presidential election can be volatile: markets have historically done worse in the weeks before election day than in the period from election day to year-end
  • While large-cap US technology stocks have led all market sectors during the Covid-19 crisis, a wider set of geographical regions and sectors may benefit from the coming economic rebound
  • Emerging technology (including 5G, AI and cybersecurity), infrastructure and clean energy may have a strong outlook following the election

Allianz Global Investors

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